電力系統の短期負荷予測

Abstract

In the first place exponential smoothing method is applied to the shortdate prediction of load of electrical power systems. This method is very simplificated using only one parameter a and takes not other factor, for example weather information, in consideration, so that this is not suitable for shortdate load forecasting, as be shown in our results. Secondly some many results are obtained by using multiplex regression model method which is connected with weather and temperature time series.